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SM Stock Market Method

Pre-Market Brief — May 31 | MSFT, ORCL, HOOD

TL;DR

Risk-on signals are flashing across tech and gold — Microsoft, Oracle, and Robinhood are all making technically notable moves heading into Sunday's pre-market. Heading into Sunday's pre-market session, Microsoft, Oracle, and Robinhood Markets are all flashing technically notable moves that have this tape looking distinctly risk-on.

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“Risk-on signals are flashing across tech and gold — Microsoft, Oracle, and Robinhood are all making technically notable moves heading into Sunday's pre-market. Heading into Sunday's pre-market session, Microsoft, Oracle, and Robinhood Markets are all flashing technically notable moves that have this tape looking distinctly risk-on.”
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Where this fits in the Confluence Method

This lesson lives in the Stack step of the Confluence Method, where you confirm momentum, price action and structure and a key level before a setup qualifies as a trade.

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Full transcript

5 sections

0:00Heading into Sunday's pre-market session, Microsoft, Oracle, and Robin Hood markets are all flashing technically notable moves that have this tape looking distinctly riskon. Let's break down what the automated signals are showing and what the broader market rotation may be telling us. Technology led the pack with a gain of over 2% while financials added about half a percent suggesting money was rotating toward growth and rate sensitive names.

0:27On the other side, consumer staples dropped nearly 2%. Energy shed over 1% and consumer discretionary slid close to 1%. That kind of divergence, defensive names selling off while tech surges can sometimes reflect a shift in near-term risk appetite worth watching closely. Gold futures saw volume running nearly 11 times the average pace while prices climbed just over 2%. a combination that technically signals unusually strong conviction in the move. Costco wholesale traded at three times its average volume on a nearly 4% decline, meaning elevated participation accompanied that sell-off, which is something technicians tend to note as meaningful. Adobe came in at 2.3 times normal volume alongside a gain of over 7%. And that kind of above average interest on an upday is often interpreted as broad engagement with the move rather than a low conviction drift.

1:25Microsoft surged over 5% triggering an automated breakout signal at full strength on volume running more than double its 20-day average. The RSI is sitting just under 70 which places it at the upper boundary of what many technicians consider neutral momentum before overbought conditions set in. One structural note worth watching, the 50-day moving average remains below the 200day. So, while the near-term price action is strong, that longerterm trend alignment is still a factor for technically oriented traders to consider. Oracle was the standout on the board, posting a gain of nearly 11% and registering a full strength automated breakout signal with RSI now above 75, which puts it firmly in overbought territory by most technical definitions.

2:11Volume came in at roughly twice the 20-day average, reflecting broad participation in that move. As with Microsoft, the 50-day moving average is still trailing the 200 day. So, traders watching trend structure may weigh that context against the momentum burst. Robin Hood markets jumped over 11% matching Oracle for the biggest gain in this group. And the automated system flagged a full strength breakout signal on volume nearly 2 and a half times the norm. The RSI of 69 keeps it just outside overbought readings, which some technicians view as a constructive position, still with room before momentum becomes stretched. That said, the 50-day moving average remains below the 200 day, a setup that technically minded observers often treat as an unresolved longerterm headwind. Intel moved in the opposite direction, falling over 5% with the automated signal reading neutral and signal strength at zero. volume was only modestly elevated at 1.3 times the average, suggesting the decline did not carry the same level of broad conviction seen in some of the other names today. The RSI at 59 sits in neutral territory. And notably, Intel's 50-day moving average is currently above its 200 day, making its technical posture structurally different from the breakout names despite the day's price pressure. As always, these are automated technical observations meant to inform your own research, not direct you toward any specific trade.

3:41This video is for educational andformational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets are risky. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before trading.